Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.399547 0.467223 0.543222 0.634968 0.742839 0.865783 1.016750
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.284419 0.369381 0.475555 0.618344 0.805945 1.044837 1.373468
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.237727 0.331710 0.458091 0.641217 0.901111 1.258735 1.791666
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.200483 0.296382 0.433202 0.643821 0.962128 1.428808 2.171583
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.175686 0.272992 0.419099 0.656139 1.034531 1.620923 2.609781
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.150831 0.244842 0.392480 0.643361 1.063717 1.747990 2.962935
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.132228 0.223337 0.372387 0.636604 1.099377 1.887515 3.354955
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.118751 0.208090 0.359887 0.639772 1.150695 2.058399 3.825542
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.112196 0.203630 0.364721 0.673161 1.259056 2.343232 4.546964
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.106006 0.198844 0.368072 0.703823 1.366015 2.639567 5.336512
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.099147 0.191812 0.366210 0.723989 1.455073 2.913327 6.123732
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.091423 0.182062 0.357835 0.729957 1.516159 3.139278 6.846540
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.082847 0.169766 0.343394 0.722612 1.550807 3.320204 7.512686
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.074211 0.156287 0.324965 0.704572 1.560503 3.450605 8.091015
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.070634 0.152924 0.326969 0.730731 1.671122 3.818784 9.286185
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.065455 0.145413 0.319120 0.733713 1.729124 4.075424 10.255971
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.061680 0.140518 0.316339 0.747815 1.815111 4.410218 11.480087
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.056236 0.131131 0.302257 0.733186 1.829060 4.571800 12.282134
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.051830 0.123630 0.291616 0.725451 1.859072 4.777957 13.240919
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.048559 0.118451 0.285842 0.729078 1.918851 5.069892 14.491282
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.047534 0.118658 0.293159 0.767304 2.076003 5.644812 16.661919
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.046338 0.118286 0.298981 0.802417 2.230106 6.235825 18.993704
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.044577 0.116243 0.300291 0.825514 2.354163 6.762004 21.228680